Chris Dixon

Always have 18 months of cash in the bank

I was once told by an experienced entrepreneur (I can’t remember who) to always have at least 18 months of cash in the bank. The logic behind this is: 1) as a rule of thumb it takes 3 months to raise money, 2) building/marketing/selling technology always takes longer than you think.  Subtracting 3 months for fundraising and 3 months for things taking longer than expected, this gives you 12 months to execute your plan. (Also you never want to raise money “with your back against the wall” – when you are near the end of your runway.)

More adventurous entrepreneurs might argue 18 months is too conservative. It’s true that following the 18 month rule can be extra dilutive. At SiteAdvisor, we raised our Series A about three months before we were acquired. So we gave up equity for cash that we never spent. But in retrospect, given what we knew at the time, I think it was the right decision.

The question of when to raise money is one of the few times that entrepreneurs and early-stage investors have somewhat divergent economic interests. If you control a large investment fund, you always have the option to extend a company’s runway. The entrepreneur doesn’t have this option. I’ve even heard some entrepreneurs whisper about Machiavellian VCs who deliberately try to get you to the end of your runway so they can negotiate harder. I think this is a bit of a conspiracy theory. Almost all VCs I know care primarily about the success of their companies and not about extracting every last point of equity.

  • http://www.aaronklein.com/ Aaron Klein

    Wouldn’t that be “always raise 18 months of cash?”

    Always having 18 months in the bank would require you to raise more like 36 months of cash.

    • http://www.JamesSiminoff.com Siminoff

      That is exactly what I was thinking when I read the post.

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Well, yeah I realize this is more of a target than an actual possibility.  But for example real life case with a founder I was just talking to:  he has 8 months of cash and people are throwing money at him.  I say take it.  Others say wait.

      • http://www.aaronklein.com/ Aaron Klein

        Yeah, I’d be in the same camp as you in that situation.

      • http://twitter.com/mattamyers Matthew A Myers

        If people are throwing money at you then there’s no rush. They’ll still want to throw money at you when you’re still doing better, they just won’t get the valuation they hope – but surely they will still find the investment valuable; Some investors might pull back, but based on the cards in the founder’s hands with many people trying to throw money at him, there’s seemingly low risk to holding out for 3-5 months more. This still would depend very much on the specific circumstances though.

        • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

          Not always – let’s say a big event is coming up like a launch or partnership. If something goes wrong, it could scare off investors.

          • http://twitter.com/mattamyers Matthew A Myers

            But they’d be buying equity in your company prior to this big event or partnership — so unless they’re betting solely on this one big event or partnership to see value in what you’re doing, then this as a reason makes no sense to me, correct me if I’m misunderstanding something nuanced?

            Depending on a single partnership or event to determine if you’re successful or not long-term doesn’t seem like a very stable business model.

            I just can’t see myself ever becoming in a situation where such a thing individually would be so critical.

            It is something to keep in mind though.

            • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

              I think you might be underestimating how emotionally / momentum driven early-stage investing can be.

              • http://twitter.com/mattamyers Matthew A Myers

                Very probably. I find comfort in logical decisions.. I suppose that’s why things such as bubbles inflate..

                So you’re saying I just need to get a bunch of investors overly excited to get money from them? I’m doing this all wrong….

                • http://www.alearningaday.com Rohan

                  On a very different note. Long time no see! :)  

                  • http://twitter.com/mattamyers Matthew A Myers

                    Ya – I’m hiding. I’m sure my AVC rank has slipped..

                    • http://www.alearningaday.com Rohan

                      lol

                • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

                  Yeah, that’s pretty much how it works. :)  Really.

                  • Matthew A. Myers

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  • Clint326

    Or are you talking about having 18 months of cash on hand, personally, so you can execute on an idea if/when needed?

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      No, I meant your startup, not personally.

  • http://twitter.com/rowanwernham Rowan Wernham

    For my startup having 3 months of cash in hand feels like the ultimate in stress free living.. given that we have spent most of the last 18 months within a month of bankruptcy :)

    Stress aside there are many disadvantages to not having proper backing – rolling contracts for staff, not being stable enough to suggest that team members relocate when necc, etc

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Yeah, most smart employees will ask how much $ you have in the bank.

  • http://twitter.com/MartyCrampton Martin Crampton

    We’re a Twitter-based disruptive start-up that has no cash. Should we close-down? (These sort of posts seem to come from a ‘cash is freely available’, as we’re ex-Google, Skype, Paypal, Path, Color, founders/employees etc SV perspective). We’ve got a good track record but live in Australia. NYC is where we shld be but …..Frustrating. 

    • http://www.aaronklein.com/ Aaron Klein

      Obviously, the post is in the context of raising money and having a payroll to meet. If you don’t have a payroll at this point, then you probably already have 18 months of cash in the bank.

      • http://twitter.com/mattamyers Matthew A Myers

        This made me chuckle.

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Sorry, I should have titled this “have 18 months of cash if you can.”  I meant it as a goal.  I realize it can be very hard to raise money.

  • http://brianward.us/ Brian Ward

    Make sure that you put that money into credit unions, rather than banks. :)

    • http://twitter.com/LordPancreas Hugh Guiney

      Or small, local banks.

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  • Anonymous

    Bootstrapping with real revenue customers seems to more worry up front about keeping costs less than revenue, rather than burning money/time and worrying about when to raise next…

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  • http://www.alearningaday.com Rohan

    Told you that, I did. 

    Done well with that advice, you have.

  • http://www.alearningaday.com Rohan

    Jokes aside, thanks Chris. :)  

    18 months does feel like a bit of a BHAG on first glance though. :)

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Yes, it’s a goal. Not easy. Maybe I should have made that clearer in the post.

  • https://taskera.com Deboprio Ghosh

    Totally agreed. but how should be the approach when you bootstrap?

  • Anonymous

    Or you can just have do two jobs. Your day job and your startup. Then just sleep 4 hours a night.  :) I think that is less stressful than watching your savings drain. Plus if you work you can reinvest in your company and just delegate to more efficient resources (ie a designer or developer).

  • Anonymous

    What do founders do when the big launched is delayed, you need to make payroll and get a few tools deployed, you don’t want to give away the company, and your runway is getting shorter 

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      I’d probably err on the side of taking dilution to ensure survival, but then again people have said I’m conservative in that respect.

      • Anonymous

        yeh, that’s the sitch.  It’s crazy when you can taste it, yet it’s just outside your control….patience.  In the meantime, i suppose we’ll attempt to:    1) understand what exogenous shocks you depend on, 2) try to guess when those shocks will hit, 3) manage your runway so you survive long enough for them to hit.

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