Chris Dixon

Once you take money, the clock starts ticking

One of the interesting things about having been investing in startups for a number of years is that at any moment you get an inside peek at startups at a variety of different stages. In the course of a few weeks, I might talk to people who are ideating around new business ideas, people raising seed rounds, people raising later (VC) rounds, people whose products are blowing up, people whose product are struggling, people getting acquired, people leaving acquirers to start new companies, etc. Sadly, there are also usually a few companies that are struggling and facing the serious possibility of running out of money and being forced to shut down.

One side-by-side comparison struck me recently.  Company A is just now raising a seed round. The money they raised will last 12 months (personally, I strongly recommend raising 18 months of runway – if you have the option to do so). Company A was also, in my opinion, not ready to raise money (they needed to work on their plan and team more). Company B raised a seed round about 10 months ago and is now struggling to raise more. Company B had the option to raise more money back then but chose to only raise 12 months runway in order to minimize dilution. Company B also made the mistake of having a large VC invest $100K in the round (a meaningless amount to a large VC). The large VC has since said they won’t support the company (despite the fact that the company made pretty good progress on the business) creating a massive signaling problem.

In the current “frothy” environment, where seed investors are aggressively offering money to entrepreneurs, it is easy for an entrepreneur to think “well, if I’m getting offered money this easily at the seed stage, I’ll get offered money easily later.” In fact, once you take professional investor money, the attitude of investors (both insiders and outsiders) changes dramatically: you’ve gone from planning mode to operations mode. When you do planning, research, experimenting etc. without having raised money, investors think you are prudent (I recently interviewed the Warby Parker founders for TechCrunch and they said they spent 1.5 years planning/researching before they raised money). When you do it with other people’s money, and don’t make what they perceive to be enough progress, the investors can quickly lose faith.

The obvious lesson is well known by experienced entrepreneurs. Don’t raise money until you are ready, and when you do, raise enough to have a good shot at reaching “accretive milestones” so you can raise more money, become profitable, or whatever your goals might be.

 

  • http://cynthiaschames.tumblr.com/ Cynthia Schames

    Simple enough to almost seem like common sense, but based on the behaviors out there in the market, it’s clearly NOT common sense for everyone.

    Biggest takeaway: Don’t try to raise money until you have a thing, have tested your thing, and have some people at least using or willing to use your thing. 

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      yes. i recommend that to others and would always follow that advice myself.

      • http://cynthiaschames.tumblr.com/ Cynthia Schames

        So when I finish testing my thing, can I call you? :)

  • http://twitter.com/andrewjbryk Andrew Bryk

    I think this a recurring trend that is only getting more common as more people are looking for funding as it is becoming more easier to acuire.  At what point do you feel through the process of a company would be the appropriate time to begin looking for funding? What type of milestones do you recommend a company reach first?

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Good question. I’ve invested in companies at very early stages, but I think at least having the founding team – or a solid plan for rounding out the founding team – and a strong hypothesis as to what you’ll do with the money and how that will get your company profitable or (more likely in the kind of companies we fund) able to raise an upround.

    • http://www.hypedsound.com jonathanjaeger

      My guess is that it’s highly dependent on the type of company you are. If you’re a B2B company, have you nailed down clients BEFORE asking for money to grow? If you’re B2C, do you have significant traction and want to raise funding to fuel growth (instead of monetizing too early).

  • http://www.troymcilvena.com Troy Mcilvena

    How often do you tell start-ups something like, “You shouldn’t take investment on this. If you persist with what you’re doing, you’ll fund yourself from your existing revenue and profits”?

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      I’ve said that many times. Or else said something like “I’m happy to meet with you periodically and help you get read to get funded and then help fund you.” But in the current environment there are usually 5 other people handing them checks so they just take the money.

  • http://www.troymcilvena.com Troy Mcilvena

    Thanks Chris. I’m based in Melbourne Australia. It seems that a lot of people have this impression that you need to move to America and maybe even more specifically Silicon Valley. What are your thoughts on that? I know you love NYC, does that create challenge or opportunity?

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      There are great companies all over. That said, it can be easier to raise money if you live in one of the “hubs.” Not that you necessarily should raise money – depends on the kind of business.

    • http://twitter.com/vinaeco Vincent Turner

      Troy – get on to Silicon Beach to connect with Aussies who have moved to the hubs. If you’re in ‘Consumer Internet’ category I can tell you that it is far easier to find & pitch over here – get me on twiitter for more info if you like and good luck!

  • http://letter.ly/startupdailydigest Jim Shook

    Are there situations where you’d suggest a business raise more than 18 months of runway if possible?

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Well, depends a lot on the business. It’s really all about being able to hit milestones on the current raise and then leaving some buffer because everything in life is harder and takes longer than you expect. So if you are building a super hardcore new tech that will take years (I imagine Lytra was an example of this), maybe you should raise more. Also biotech is a whole different category (which I know almost nothing about).

  • http://www.elieseidman.com Elie Seidman

    Well said – when we first raised money for Oyster – Spring 2008 – we raised enough to get through end of 2009 but by mid 2009 it was clear that we were not going to make enough progress on that capital to get to a meaningful accretive milestone. We added more capital in 2009 – we were very fortunate to be able to do so, result of a very supportive VC – and worked through to early 2011 on that capital. By that time, we had made enough progress to be able to raise new financing. If I could do it all over, I would have raised even more in 2008 or 2009. We ended up being capital starved for all of 2010 and it cost us a lot of time. Had we raised more, we would have been able to continue to execute more aggressively in 2010 instead of basically waiting around. It would have been more percentage dilutive to take that capital in 2008 or 2009 but we would have achieved a lot more by our Series B in early 2011. Such is life. It’s in the rear view mirror now and things are going well. But if our luck had been just a bit worse in 2009 or 2010, we would have died on the vine back then. Not because the business was flawed but simply because in the period of measurement, the results were not there yet. 

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      Hi Elie – Thanks for the story. One reason I write a lot about financings is not that they are inherently that interesting but because I’ve seen a lot of good companies fail due to messing up the financing. You obviously can’t succeed by doing financing right but you can fail by doing it wrong. I like to work with the “regret minimization framework” as both an entrepreneur and investor, which for me means that if something is a plausible idea I want to see if fully and properly tested. I don’t mind losing money as an investor or failing as an entrepreneur (ok, well, that’s not really true :) ), but I think the tragic cases are where an company was never even given the proper chance.

      • http://www.elieseidman.com Elie Seidman

        Totally agree with you – there is so much risk as it is that adding a lot of financing risk to the mix is basically not worth it. In a lot of cases, if you guess right you make a few extra bucks but if you guess wrong… you get a zero. 

        I think you’re doing entrepreneurs a **huge** service by talking about this a lot. Especially right now. The ready availability of seed financing is, I sense, convincing a lot of people that the next capital will be there just as easily. But your point here is so well articulated – as soon as you take the capital the rules change entirely and you MUST have plenty of capital to take you through to the next milestone. People read the financing stories of the breakouts – those are the most compelling stories for the media to report on. Worth remembering that the vast majority of companies – even ones that will be very successful over time – don’t have the breakout results that allow those sensational financings. And if you run out of the money and get punted out of the game as a result, the game is over for you – independent of whether or not the business is a good one. 

        Kudos for harping on this issue. Badly needed – especially right now with SO many new companies being formed.

    • http://twitter.com/andyidsinga andyidsinga

      i read the 40TB sever post – very interesting technically ..but also made me wonder what internal cost sensitivities might have caused you to choose that path. Partly related to the 2010 time period?

      ps : love oyster :)

      • http://www.elieseidman.com Elie Seidman

        Not really. We need easy access to those photos and a GigE LAN is way faster than our connection to the cloud which is now, finally, 100Mbps. We have other backups but the core RAW files are primarily stored in-house. We’re rapidly on our way to 100TB and storing that amount of data at Amazon is still pricey. The 2010 challenges are historical – the challenge of storing a large number of TB is current.

  • Matthew A. Myers

    You stated “I think at least having the founding team – or a solid plan for rounding out the founding team - or a solid plan for rounding out the founding team ”

    I was wondering what level of investment / amounts you see being invested at the level of solid plan/pre-founding team? Or perhaps what you / Founder Collective invest in this scenario?

    I have a prototype that I can turn into MVP safely with 3 development sprints (roughly $60k cost), though I know for further investment, investors prefer / require you to have a founding team that includes coders – which understandably reduces the risk and costs of having in-house. And of course, there’s the runway needed to cover the 18 months (I agree, 12 months really ends up being a short period of time) – money needed for a few future iterations and for a few salaries during that time.

    It could be argued that outsourcing, if done properly, could be more efficient – especially when mockups for features, etc. are pre-planned well. However I understand the value of having a core team working on a problem long-term that has a vested interest in the company (aka equity).

    I’m applying for an incubator shortly, not sure I’ll get in as the tentative technical co-founder is in San Francisco (not near me) and is currently finishing up a business degree, so can’t make it and I don’t think wants to move away from the weather of San Fran.. I can’t blame her…

    The tentative co-founder can work remotely, initially 30 hours weekly while finishing up her degree, and then more afterwards – however incubators state they want every founder to be at their location for X period of time, so I’m guessing by default this might eliminate me from the process; At least until I decide to move to San Francisco and go to an incubator there.. however I have some grants to apply in the mean time.

    Thanks..

  • http://twitter.com/rocSpeaks return on change

    This is a really critical point that start-ups often fail to realize.  Even prior to the VC rounds, prudence levels go up exponentially as you take money from friends and family.

  • http://www.kidmercuryblog.com kidmercury

    nice use of the word “ideating.” when i first read that i was like “no way, dude is totally making this up” but then i looked it up and turns out it is a legit word. nice work. 

    • Matthew A. Myers

      I used the word exacting today, and I wasn’t totally sure it was a word but it meant what I thought it meant.. I surprised myself!

      • http://www.kidmercuryblog.com kidmercury

        congrats on taking the plunge into using a new word — it takes guts. you and dixon really inspired me today. i salute you for your verbal bravery.

        • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

          :)

    • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

      lol, thanks. i wrote it and then had to double check too. :)

    • http://twitter.com/andyidsinga andyidsinga

      haha – thought the exact same thing.

      good post in any case :)

      • http://www.cdixon.org chris dixon

        ha, i try to actively avoid pretentious diction. i debated whether “ideating” was pretentious but felt like it wasn’t since it seemed to fill a void. alternatives like “brainstorming” actually seem far worse (pseudoscientific, overused, trite imagery).

        • http://twitter.com/andyidsinga andyidsinga

          hehe – i hear many x worse in bigco land :) But cool to hear you agonize a little over it ;)

          Your posts are very down to earth. cheers!

  • JamesHRH

    preparation.

    Who knew the Boy Scouts would be good startup founders?

  • Anonymous

    Great post. 

    A question: our social games startup will probably be looking to raise money at some point, I’d like to do what you suggest and wait until we are ‘ready’ (also until we absolutely need it i.e. as long as possible). Our first game (warsocial.com) is in alpha so technically we are out of the ‘research and planning’ phase – will investors still find that prudent? What if we wait a year or more and keep creating games before raising money? Would that be looked upon favorably, in light of the ideas in this post?

    Thanks

  • http://twitter.com/Jacks076 Jacks 076

    It’s better without clock.

  • http://twitter.com/GHills6 Greg Hills

    Ideating?!  Come on Chris you’re better than that

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  • http://www.credii.com vammok

    I’d love to see a follow up post on suggestive signs for startups to know that they are ready to raise financing.

    Many, including mine, get into incubators and don’t usually get to significant traction in the 10-12 week period. Almost all of them look towards raising a seed round as not only natural but an immediate move.

  • http://www.andyswan.com andyswan

    It’s a really good point.  The other thing that I’ve seen happen after a founder takes funding he becomes a stressed-out incompetent.  
    I think it’s the attitude of “proving that they were right in backing me”.  

    Founders start asking what investors think on every decision.  Start stressing about burn because they “want to show progress THIS MONTH”, “make sure everyone is on board”, etc.

    Pleasing the investor becomes as much of a focus as pleasing the consumer, and that’s where you get fucked up.

  • Anonymous

    Chris, wise words. I am a partner in a legal firm with expertise in intellectual property, technology and business law. I’ve been in this business for 26 years. We work mainly with start-ups & SMEs. I have seen this scenario repeated a number of times. Many founders believe that raising the required seed capital is all they need to be successful. While no one will question the necessity of proper financing, unless the business is ready, e.g., has a solid product or service, market demand, well thought-out business plan, and an experienced team ready, willing and able to demonstrate its ability to deliver that return on investment to investors, it will not succeed in raising the capital it needs. And investors will be dubious the next time the founder(s) come around looking for cash.

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/repas David Repas

    Great post. Another related lesson that more entrepreneurs (or future entrepreneurs) should start realizing is that fundraising success is only the beginning, not the end. I see far too much focus on the celebration of raising capital and far too little focus on celebrating companies that have created valuable businesses with or without funding.

  • http://www.the-makegood.com Matt Straz

    Great post. This is why, as an entrepreneur, I personally look at Saturday and Sunday as bonus work days during the first few of years of a startup. You can stretch your raise and literally slow down the flow of business time if you can take advantage of the other 2/7th of the week.

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